[Mb-civic] Bush's Re-Election Would Doom Moderate Republicans
ean at sbcglobal.net
ean at sbcglobal.net
Fri Oct 15 20:49:48 PDT 2004
Published on Friday, October 15, 2004 by CommonDreams.org
Bush's Re-Election Would Doom Moderate Republicans
by Michael Cudahy
http://www.commondreams.org/views04/1015-27.htm
If President George W. Bush is reelected, the direction of the Republican
Party is likely to undergo a massive and fundamental shift. Long-held
principles of liberty, integrity and respect for human rights -- established by
Theodore Roosevelt, Abraham Lincoln and Dwight Eisenhower -- could be
relegated to the pages of history books.
Should the president win reelection we could see national identity cards, a
continuation of irresponsible fiscal policies, and a foreign policy that rejects a
decades long respect for multilateralism. These are positions that have
defined the party for the better part of the 20th century and are deserving of
this presidents consideration.
Ironically, the decision rests in the hands of the centrist or moderate wing of
the Republican Party -- the very people whose values will be devalued if this
administration is permitted another four years in office. Representing only 18-
20% of registered Republicans nationwide, they are in a position to supply
Democrat John Kerry with the 3-5% points he needs to win an extremely
close presidential election.
During the 2000 presidential campaign, George W. Bush mesmerized many
of his partys centrist members with talk of compassionate conservatism,
and a desire for bipartisanship cooperation.
President Bushs rhetoric during the 2000 campaign held the promise for a
significant change of direction, said Sen. Lincoln Chafee (R-RI). There was
a strong bipartisan desire for mutual respect and cooperation -- for the good
of the country. We were exhausted by the bitter partisan infighting, but this
administrations behavior has only made the problem worse.
We are seeing policy initiatives that are diametrically opposed to the
promises we heard four years ago, Chafee says. The president is
advancing an extreme agenda that rejects everything from worldwide
environmental cooperation to the banning of access to abortions for service
members overseas."
Moderates were in a position to provide significant assistance to this
president, says Chafee. "Sadly, he chose a different direction."
The question that needs to be addressed is the commitment and courage of
rank and file Republican centrists. Are they prepared to overthrow the neo-
conservative Republicans that betrayed President George H.W. Bush in
1992, or has their will been broken by the strong-arm tactics of the last 12
years?
The problem with moderates, says Ann Stone Chairman of Republicans for
Choice, is that they are so moderate, so civil, and generally so silent.
Nonetheless, Stone says, only 38% of her membership will be supporting
President Bush.
In talking with Republican activists who have consistently supported
moderate positions for decades, I discovered that none were willing to speak
on the record. To a person they are intimidated by the extremely personal
and well organized attacks by members of the Bush administrations political
operation.
"When I talk anecdotally to moderate Republicans, it's very hard to find one
who is going to vote for Bush, said John Zogby, president and CEO of the
polling firm Zogby International, in an interview with Salon.com. "On the other
hand, it's not showing up in our polling." In fact, Zogby's latest polls show 87
percent of Republicans backing Bush. "I'm just watching and waiting and
saying to myself maybe there's something going on here, because I'm
hearing it."
Consequently, it is hard to understand why respected and visible moderate
Republican leaders like Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger, Senator John
McCain, and former New York mayor Rudolph Giuliani went to such lengths
at the Republican Convention in New York to provide President Bush with
important political cover. It is particularly difficult to understand when this
administration has done virtually nothing to support their concerns.
While some political analysts suggest it is a strategy to reestablish influence
for the centrist Republican agenda, other observers question whether the
benefits will be worth the price.
A second Bush term would be a disaster for American women, said, Evelyn
Becker Deputy Communications Director at NARAL. We would see an effort
to pack the U.S. Supreme Court with ultraconservative justices in an attempt
to overturn Roe v. Wade, as well as continued and aggressive legislative
moves to limit womens access to birth control, proper family planning and
health care services, she said.
The November election will also decide other major legislative battles critical
to party moderates. We are certain to see the Bush administration set new
standards in partisan politics. This extreme behavior could precipitate a
serious economic crisis, as a result of irresponsible tax policies and out of
control government spending, while threatening the American tradition of free
speech with measures such as the USA Patriot Act.
We will find out in a few short weeks whether Republican moderates can be
bought off by the occasional bone and a seat at the childrens table, or
whether they will regain their voice and become major players in setting the
partys political agenda for future generations.
Michael Cudahy (strtfocus at earthlink.net) is a political writer and analyst from
Massachusetts. He was a former national campaign staff member for
President George H.W. Bush, Executive Director for Elliot Richardson's
Committee for Responsible Government, and National Communications
Director for the Republican Coalition for Choice.
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