[Mb-civic] FW: "Go ahead, attack Iran!"

[Golsorkhi]

------ Forwarded Message
From: "Farhad Sepahbody" <sepa at sedona.net>
Date: Fri, 1 Oct 2004 17:53:10 -0700
To: <grgolsorkhi at earthlink.net>
Subject: Fw: "Go ahead, attack Iran!"

 
----- Original Message -----
From: Javidiran <mailto:Javidiran at payandehiran.org>
To: 'Un-Disclosed' <mailto:javidiran at payandehiran.org>
Sent: Friday, October 01, 2004 4:16 PM
Subject: "Go ahead, attack Iran!"

Democratic keynote speaker Barack Obama calls for missile strikes on Iran
>  
> By Tom Mackaman
> 
> 
> 
> 1 October  2004
> 
> 
> In an interview with the editorial board of the Chicago  Tribune published
> September 26,  Democratic Senate candidate Barack Obama said he would favor
> the use of  “surgical” missile strikes against Iran if it failed to bow to
> Washington’s  demand that it eliminate its nuclear energy program. Obama also
> said that, in  the event of a coup that removed the Musharraf regime in
> Pakistan, the US  should attack that nation’s nuclear arsenal.
>  
> 
> Obama, the keynote speaker at the Democratic  National Convention, is being
> hailed as a “rising star” in the Democratic  Party. In his Tribune interview,
> he said explicitly what  is implicit in repeated statements by Democratic
> presidential candidate John  Kerry and other party leaders. They have
> frequently attacked the Bush  administration’s policy in Iraq on the grounds
> that it is diverting attention  from supposedly greater threats, in particular
> Iran and North Korea.
>  
> 
> Obama told the Tribune, “[T]he big question is going to be,  if Iran is
> resistant to these pressures, including economic sanctions, which I  hope will
> be imposed if they do not cooperate, at what point are we going to,  if any,
> are we going to take military action?”
>  
> 
> Answering his own question, Obama said, “I hope it  doesn’t get to that point.
> But realistically, as I watch how this thing has  evolved, I’d be surprised if
> Iran blinked at this point.”
>  
> 
> Obama advanced a racist argument for attacks on Iran  and Pakistan. Making a
> comparison between the “Islamic world” and the Soviet  Union, he argued that
> the religious outlook of Iranians and Pakistanis made  them less prone to
> compromise and reason and more warlike.
>  
> 
> He said: “With the Soviet Union, you did get the sense that they  were
> operating on a model that we could comprehend in terms of, they don’t  want to
> be blown up, we don’t want to be blown up, so you do game theory and
> calculate ways to contain. I think there are certain elements within the
> Islamic world right now that don’t make those same  calculations.”
>  
> 
> In the case of Pakistan, the Senate hopeful added,  “I think there are
> elements within Pakistan right now—if Musharraf is  overthrown and they took
> over—I think we would have to consider going in and  taking those bombs out,
> because I don’t think we can make the same assumptions  about how they
> calculate risks.”
>  
> 
> Due to scandal and political turmoil in the Illinois  Republican Party, Obama
> is virtually assured of victory on November 2. When  Republican nominee Jack
> Ryan dropped out of the race on June 25 due to a sex  scandal, the state
> Republican Party scrambled to find a replacement.
>  
> 
> After several prominent conservatives, including  former Chicago Bears
> football coach Mike Ditka, refused to run, the party  finally recruited the
> fascistic radio talk show host, frequent presidential  candidate, and resident
> of Maryland, Alan Keyes.
>  
> 
> Keyes, who has never lived in Illinois, quickly  turned his campaign into
> something of a farce, issuing homophobic statements  and attacking the
> so-called “moderate” wing of the state Republican Party.  According to one
> poll, Obama has built more than a fifty-point lead on  Keyes.
>  
> 
> Obama’s statements underscore the Democratic Party’s  acceptance in principle
> of the “Bush Doctrine” of preventive war—a doctrine  that contravenes
> international law and provides a rationale for US military  interventions
> against any country deemed an obstacle to US imperialist  interests around the
> world.
>  
> 
> The African-American Democrat is being groomed for  national leadership. His
> speech at the Democratic convention, a homily on hard  work, individual
> responsibility and the American dream, would have been well  received at a
> Republican convention not so many years ago. But in 2004, Obama  is passed off
> as a “progressive” politician.
>  
> 
> *****Inside  Track / Next year in Tehran*****
>  
> 
> For the past three years the central war game of the  U.S. armed forces has
> been centered on Iran. But what exactly will await them  there, even they do
> not purport to know
>  
> By Amir  Oren
>  
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> Six  divisional task forces of the U.S. armed forces, subordinate to three
> corps  commands arrive simultaneously from six different directions; two
> airborne  expeditionary forces (combat wings, transport, command and control,
> intelligence, refueling); five aircraft carriers at a distance of up to 1,500
> kilometers from their northernmost targets; three Special Forces battalions -
> all struck at Iran and pushed to seize its capital city.



>  
> The Iranians sent a far larger ground force into  action against them,
> consisting of 15-17 corps commands, suffering blatantly  from air inferiority
> but trained to use drones against the invader, along with  missiles and
> weapons of mass destruction (most likely chemical and biological,  not
> nuclear. The fighting centered on Tehran, where the Americans were out to
> topple the regime of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who was 30 days away from
> installing a nuclear warhead on a surface-to-surface missile, whose range
> included American targets.
>  
> It is on the basis of this scenario that, for the past  three years, the
> central war game of the U.S. armed forces has been conducted,  under the
> codename Unified Quest, or UQ for short. The stages of the game  continue
> throughout the year and it reaches its peak in one feverish week in  May, at
> the War College in Carlyle, Pennsylvania.
>  
> There was no point trying to hide the Iranian  background to the event, in
> which a large number of officers and civilians  take part - more than 500
> every year - including observers from foreign  countries (Britain, Spain,
> France, Germany, Turkey, Australia and Israel,  too), from the State
> Department and the Department of Interior, from the CIA  and the FBI, and from
> organizations such as Medecins sans Frontieres  (Physicians Without Borders),
> which this year sent a delegation of physicians.  Indeed, not only did the
> Pentagon forgo any attempt to keep the event secret,  it tried to play up the
> Iranian aspect. The enemy state was called "Nair," and  for the mentally
> challenged it was explained that this is a fictional state on  the basis of
> the geography and culture of Iran.
>  
> Officially, there is no direct connection between the  doctrinal, organization
> and operational ideas that the command of the  integrated forces and the land
> arm are putting into practice in Unified Quest  - similar war games are held
> under the auspices of the air force, the navy and  the marines - and the
> decisions that will be placed on the president's desk,  for him to make with
> his exclusive authority, when the time comes. In  practice, there is no
> differentiating between the insights that are achieved  in the war game and
> what the Pentagon will prepare for the president's  authorization. The one
> small difference is between a war game and a war that  will be no game.
>  
> Other  headaches
>  
> Just as the American presence in Afghanistan did not  prevent the incursion
> into Iraq, so it will not prevent an operation in Iran,  either. A hint in
> this direction can also be found in the innovation that has  been introduced
> into the next exercise in the UQ series. The games of  2002-2004 dealt with
> three scenarios, of which the Iranian scenario was only  one, albeit the most
> important of the three.
>  
> Alongside it Washington had to deal with two other  headaches, one an
> underground revolt in "Sumasia" (Sumatra / Indonesia), the  other terrorism in
> the American homeland. The Israeli representative was  assigned to help
> rehabilitate battle-torn Sumasia and not in the activity in  Nair, perhaps in
> order to ward off in advance allegations about joint  American-Israeli
> planning against Iran.
>  
> Now the Sumasi scenario, which has been fully played  out, has been set aside,
> and the 2005 UQ exercise, which will be played in May  2005, though the
> preparations begin this month, will focus on "Nair." That is  the immediate
> mission, and to bridge the gaps that were revealed in the  previous exercises
> will require the massing of all the  forces.
>  
> It turns out that even as the eyes of the world are on  the collision course
> between Iran's thrust for nuclear arms and the  international community, which
> is imploring Tehran to stop and is hinting that  there will be those
> (Americans, Israelis) who will not balk at a preemptive  strike against the
> nuclear facilities in Iran, systematic preparations are  underway for a
> different type of military operation: not against the nuclear  sites - that
> could be part of the operation, by means of Special Forces and  air strikes,
> but that will not be enough - but against the regime that refuses  to stop.
>  
> To create a deterrent threat against Iran, as the  country pushes to go
> nuclear, without admitting to offensive intentions, a UQ  narrative farther
> into the future, in 2015-2016, was set. But the timing ploy  is transparent
> and suffers from an internal contradiction, because the  rationale of the
> confrontation with Iran will not occur in another dozen  years. It will be
> resolved, one way or the other, by Iranian submission or  American action, in
> the years immediately ahead, and perhaps within one  year.
>  
> President Bush's top adviser, Karl Rove, is said to  have declared that you
> don't shoot in an election year - and, in the months  ahead, the efforts at
> persuasion will continue, along with the warnings and  the sanctions, until
> the moment of decision arrives, though the threat must  not be brandished
> before the polls close.
>  
> Secretary of State Colin Powell last week was careful  to use the phrase "at
> present" when he said at the United Nations that the  U.S. does not have plans
> for military action. As soon as the words left his  mouth, that present ended
> and a different present, a new one, began. In its  official, futuristic,
> timetable, the campaign that has been practiced in  Unified Quest will be
> superfluous or too late.
>  
> Lessons from the  IDF
>  
> The two main problems identified by the commanders of  the Americans' "blue"
> force (joined by the British and, it's hoped, by others  as well) in doing
> battle against the "red" enemy are the complexity of the  urban environment
> and the vulnerability of the supply and communications  lines. About 12
> million people are crowded into the urban space of Tehran, and  that number
> will rise to 17 million in the coming decade. The population of  Greater
> Tehran has shot up by leaps of millions in recent years. Israelis who  were
> last there a quarter of a century ago, when Khomeini took power, will
> discover that the city has more than doubled in size.
>  
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> American  officers warn that the routine training for combat in built-up areas
> is more  appropriate to villages and towns than to a vast conurbation of this
> scale, a  "mega-city" that extends across dozens of square kilometers of
> territory.



>  
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> One  of the commanders of the "red," quasi-Iranian, force, retired Colonel
> Richard  Sinnreich, wrote, in justification of the Israeli arm's Operation
> Defensive  Shield in Jenin, that U.S. forces are more likely to encounter
> situations  similar to those in the West Bank than those they encountered in
> Afghanistan.  That was before the war in Iraq. General Kevin Byrnes, commander
> of TRADOC  (U.S. Army Training and Doctrine Command), said this year in a
> lecture that  the study of the up-to-date lessons of the Israel Defense Forces
> and the  British Army was an essential element in planning for Iraq. Even as
> he spoke,  the reds of Sinnreich and his colleagues surprised the blues in the
> capital of  Nair by transferring military units from sector to sector not
> secretly but  completely in the open - though without the blues being able to
> bomb them,  because the move was made in the course of a parade in the streets
> where  thousands of children and other civilians were gathered.



 
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